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Why The Japan Investor?

Japan has always been something of an enigma to foreign investors.

There is tremendous investment opportunity in Japan, provided one takes the time to dig through the superficial media hype and colored analyses. While there is no shortage of accounts of what is happening in Japan, there is a dearth of relevant facts, considered interpretations, and clear-headed analysis of developments and events that answer key questions about your investments in Japan. Moreover, even in the age of instant communications and the Internet, the majority of information that is being discounted in Japan's financial markets is simply not available in English.

With over 20 years experience in Japan's financial markets, The Japan Investor offers subscribers:

  1. Top-down, macro analysis of global, economic, political and policy developments that have a critical bearing on the direction of Japanese, stocks, bonds and the yen.
  2. Bottom-up, micro analysis of the factors that drive revenues and profits in individual sectors and stocks, and how these are affected by top-down developments.
  3. Relative analysis of how Japan markets compare to US and global peers, and to each other.
  4. Specific recommendations on the overall market direction, the yen, interest rates and a recommended portfolio of Japanese stocks.
  5. Clear, easy-to-understand explanations of key developments that are often under-reported outside of Japan, or are simply ignored.
  6. Timely e-mail response (overnight, as we are based in Tokyo) to subscriber inquiries regarding the Tokyo financial markets. If we do not immediately know the answer, we'll tell you, then try to find the answer.

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May 15, 2006. TJI suggest that investors would be better off “selling in May and going away”
("Sell in May and Go Away?" 05.15.06 Market Letter) to return in the fall.
The Nikkei 225 has just slipped from a high of 17,154, but subsequently falls some 18% to a low of 14,000 and continues to consolidate on concerns of slowing global growth.

October 31, 2005. TJI questions market valuations and popularity of the new Internet darlings such as Livedoor and Rakuten
("Japan''s Internet Intrepreneurs, Where''s the Value?", 10.31.06 Market Letter)
In January 2006, questions surface suggesting that Livedoor was playing games with its accounting.
A full-scale investigation reveals major accounting fraud and the company is eventually pushed to delist.
Stocks of “bubble priced” speculative Internet stocks plunge to only fractions of their prior value.

January 31, 2005. TJI recommends buying basic materials and avoiding technology
(“TJI Loves Basic Materials, Hates Tech”, 1.31.05 Market Letter). By December 2005, the mining and non-ferrous metal sectors are up 71% and 67.6% respectively, while the electronics sector has managed only 25.9% and the telecom sector a mere 9.2%.

January 16,2005. TJI deems a dollar rally and a Nikkei 225 at 14,000 to be the surprises for 2005
(“2005 Surprises: Dollar Rally, Nikkei at 14,000”, 1.16.05 Market Letter). The consensus is that the dollar will weaken to \80/$ and that Japan’s economy will again decelerate. But as of December 2005, the Yen is some 18% weaker against the US dollar, while the Nikkei 225 hit 14,000 on its way to 15,000 in December 2005.

November 4, 2004. TJI declares that the real investment story in Japan is deep value stocks
(“Deep Value Stocks: The Real Investment Story in Japan”, 11.4.04 Market Letter). Investors continue to revalue financially weak stocks previously priced for bankruptcy as going concerns. Stocks like Haseko Corp. (1808) surge from \43 per share in January 2003 to \470 by December 2005.

August 16, 2004. TJI warns of a coming oil shock
(“The Coming Oil Shock: Already Having an Impact”, 8.16.04 Market Letter), predicting $80/bbl as oil breaches $45/bbl. A TJI Oil Shock Portfolio is created to capitalize on higher oil prices. Oil subsequently rises to $70/bbl and could rise further, while the TJI Oil Shock portfolio is up 53% as of December 2005.

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